A Quick Outline of the Promotional Planning framework
For some time those seeking to measure promotions have talked about efficiency and effectiveness. However I have never seen a universally accepted definition of these terms, and in my book I set out a number of ways of measuring each. It seems logical to me to use the term efficiency to relate to the overall promotional program – a period of time that is reasonably long, and the inclusion of all promotional costs for a number of promotions compared to the total sales over that period. On this basis, efficiency is a measure of the average cost of trade spend. To relate this to a single promotion, the promotional costs would be expressed as a percentage of the sales on that promotion. Individual promotional efficiencies would be related to the overall promotional program efficiency in terms of the frequency with which that promotion is repeated. To use an example, if a single promotion has an efficiency cost of 20% to sales, and the frequency is such that 30% of the total sales in a period are on a promotion, then the overall efficiency will be 6% of sales.
Effectiveness on the other hand would seem to relate to any gain in sales achieved by the promotion, and be measured in terms of the costs to achieve that gain. A simple theoretical model using real world price/volume relationships indicates that efficiency and effectiveness can have a minimum point – that there are optimum price points. It also indicates that both measures reach a minimum at about the same price point. This suggests that if you optimise effectiveness you will optimise efficiency at the same time. However my own experience indicates that this is not the case, and indeed I have now developed a promotional evaluation system which proves this to be the case. If effectiveness and efficiency are independent, there are four possible states for a product on a promotion.
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When Brokers can Offer a Low Cost Merchandising Service
The smaller food suppliers seem to swap their own sales force for a broker service, only to go back to a direct force a few years later. Sometimes they then return to a broker yet again. Brokers naturally present themselves as an efficient and experienced alternative. Even large grocery companies sometimes go with a broker service – Kelloggs did that here in Australia. The question that has puzzled many a Sales Director is ‘How can you decide whether a broker would be less expensive?’ (The question of better I leave to another day!) And why should a broker be able to offer a better service that is lower in cost?
A couple of years ago I was able to compare the merchandising costs of a number of Australian Food suppliers. These companies differed in size, and indeed differed in the objectives they set for their field force. Nevertheless I was intrigued to discover that costs can be predicted with relative ease.
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Composition of Incremental Lift
This is a precis of a research paper entitled ‘The Decomposition of Promotional Response: An Empirical Generalisation’ by David R. Bell, Jeongwen Chiang and V. Padmanabhan, published by Marketing Science.
This very interesting paper based on research conducted in 1999, studies 173 brands in 13 categories in the USA over a 52 week period, based on the household expenditure of 250 families and 3 stores. The overall conclusion is that the percentage of promotional lift attributable to brand switching is an average of 75%, which is somewhat below previous studies. In 1988 Gupta measured this at 84%, and A.C.Nielsen more recently (precise date unknown, but published in 1996) at 80%.
Of even more interest is the category by category variance. Categories were selected to encompass both those that are known to expand consumption, as well as those that are ‘storable’ or ‘necessities’.The balance of the lift not attributable to brand switching was also analysed into the two components of category expansion (genuine additional incremental volume) and accelerated purchase (reduction in expected inter-purchase interval). A determination was also made of the relative impact of brand factors, category factors and consumer factors to identify which is the most significant. All in all, they are able to explain 70% of the actual promotional response. One of the significant findings is that category effects are more significant than brand effects, and consumer effects (i.e. demographics) are quite minimal.
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Allocating Time to Customers
The important few – the unimportant many
This article first appeared in print sometime around 1986. It was written by Porter Henry, President of Porter Henry & Co. This is an exact reproduction of the original article, although obviously the tables and charts have had to be recreated. Reproduction here is not intended to infringe the copyright of the original author or the unknown publisher of the original article. Attempts have been made to contact Porter Henry and Co, and the original publisher is unknown, as the photocopied article has no identifying marks.
Theoretically, for every customer, there is a call frequency that will give you your maximum volume, or profit, per call. There is a bell-shaped curve for every customer – a little curve for a little customer, a big curve for a big customer. The maximum return per call might be realized from 3 calls per year for one customer, 6 for another, and 17 for another. It’s just not practical to establish a different call frequency for each customer, however, so we advocate using a short-cut. Presented here is an accurate method of allocating your time based on both your present and your potential business. This method, which requires you to divide your customers into three categories, is based on a principle we call ‘IFUM’ – the Important Few and the Unimportant Many.